95,000+ picks graded with public results

Find the edge.
Keep the profit.

A probability engine that scans 40+ books across 6 sports, identifies mispriced player props, and grades every single pick. No gut calls. No hidden losses.

Already a member? Sign in
0%
Win Rate
+0%
Return on Investment
+0u
Units Profit

Three Steps to +EV

We handle the math. You place the bets.

Step 01

We Scan

Every 2 minutes, we pull live player props from 40+ books -- so you see edges the moment they appear, not after they're gone.

Step 02

We Calculate

Sport-specific probability models anchored to the sharpest lines in the market. If there's real edge, we find it. If there isn't, we don't show it.

Step 03

You Profit

Every pick is timestamped, archived, and graded against real results. 95,000+ picks graded. No cherry-picking. No hiding losses.

The Full Suite

One subscription. Ten tools.

Most platforms give you lines. We give you an edge engine — prediction models, market intelligence, inefficiency scanners, and execution tools. All included.

Core

Prediction Engine

Sport-specific ML models (XGBoost + Poisson GLMs) across NBA, NHL, MLB, Soccer, Tennis. Retrained weekly on fresh data.

Intelligence

Sharp Money

Track what respected money is hammering. Tier-graded by historical accuracy — T-tier running 61% WR +7u/month.

Intelligence

Insider Tracker

Polymarket wallet + Kalshi flow signals. When smart money shows its hand on prediction markets, you play it on your sportsbook.

Specialty

MLB Alt Markets

NRFI/YRFI + K Ladders + HR picks from dedicated models. Markets the big tools don't touch.

Market

Arbitrage Scanner

Guaranteed profit across 17 sportsbooks. >0.5% ROI filter, quality tiers, smart stake sizing.

Market

Middles

1,500+ live middles with A/B/C grades. Auto-graded hit rate tracking so you know which middles actually cash.

Market

RLM Detector

Reverse line movement across 264K+ signals. Spot when the sharp side is getting pounded while the line moves the opposite way.

Execution

Slip Builder

Build slips with pairwise correlation penalties + Monte Carlo simulation. Stop accidentally sizing correlated plays.

Execution

Exposure / Bankroll

Track your exposure across books, stats, and games. Know what you're actually risking at any given moment.

Discovery

Top Props

30-day and 3-day rolling win-rate leaderboards by stat type. Find today's hot combo, skip the cold ones.

Plus the Dashboard, Performance page, Top Props leaderboard, Blog, and every tool shipped in Phase 2.

Five Sports Live. NFL at Launch.

Dedicated models per sport — retrained weekly on fresh data, not a one-size-fits-all algorithm.

NBA
Live
58.1%
Season win rate
NHL
Live
64.9%
Season win rate
MLB
Live
55.8%
Season win rate
Soccer
Live
56.4%
Season win rate
Tennis
Live
54.7%
Season win rate
NFLAug 2026
---
Reactivating for the season
GolfBeta
---
DataGolf model in staging

Recent Picks

Every pick graded. Every result public.

Latest Graded Picks
Live
Loading recent picks...

How We Compare

Most tools show you odds. We show you edges.

Feature
Turtle +EV
from $99/mo
OddsJam
$99/mo
PickFinder
$49/mo
OddsShopper
$29/mo
Unabated
$99/mo
AI Probability Engine (5 sports)
Transparent Pick Grading
40+ Sportsbooks Scanned
Sharp Money / Whale Tracker
Polymarket + Kalshi Insider Signals
Arbitrage + Middles + RLM Scanner
MLB Alt Markets (NRFI, HR, K Ladders)
Slip Builder with Correlation Math
Published Win Rate & ROI (every pick)
Under $100/mo

Simple Pricing. Serious Edge.

One platform. Full access. No upsells.

Turtle Core
$99/mo

The prediction engine, solo.

  • All 5 sports + NFL at launch
  • AI probability on every prop
  • 40+ sportsbooks scanned
  • Slip Builder with correlation math
  • Top Props leaderboard
  • Full performance transparency
Most Popular
Turtle Pro
$149/mo

Every tool we ship. Full platform.

  • All 5 sports + NFL at launch
  • AI probability on every prop
  • 40+ sportsbooks scanned
  • Sharp Money whale tracker
  • Polymarket + Kalshi insider signals
  • Arb / Middles / RLM scanner
  • MLB Alt Markets (NRFI, HR, K Ladders)
  • Slip Builder with correlation math
  • Exposure + bankroll dashboard
  • Top Props leaderboard
  • Full performance transparency
Limited · 50 Seats
Turtle Founding
$99/mo

Pro features at Core price — locked for life.

37 of 50 seats left13/50
  • Everything in Turtle Pro — forever
  • Price locked for life (never increases)
  • Every future tool we ship — included
  • NFL when it launches Aug 2026 — included
  • Priority beta access to new products
  • Direct line to the founders

Cancel anytime via Whop. No contracts, no hidden fees. Founding seats never re-open once filled.

The math on Turtle Pro: Our NHL model alone hit 64.9% this season. At $50 units with standard -110 payouts, that's +$847 in one month from one sport. Pro covers 5 active sports, scans 40+ books, and grades every single pick. Founding Members get Pro-level access at Core price — locked for life. Fifty seats total. Never re-opens.

Built Different

We stake our reputation on radical transparency.

Every Pick Graded

Five-layer verification cascade. Our full record is public -- wins and losses.

2-Minute Refresh

Lines move fast. Our scraper runs every 120 seconds across all 40+ books.

Calibrated Models

Sport-specific probability calibration. Not generic. Backtested and retrained weekly.

Edge Sizing

We show predicted edge as a percentage so you can size bets by confidence.

Frequently Asked Questions

We build sport-specific statistical models using player game logs, advanced metrics (xG, Statcast, DVP), and situational factors. Our calibration functions compute true probabilities for every player prop, then compare against the lines posted by 48 sportsbooks. Only edges where our calculated probability exceeds the implied odds surface on the platform.

Positive expected value (+EV) means a bet where the true probability of winning is higher than what the sportsbook's odds imply. If a book gives you +100 odds (50% implied), but our model says the true probability is 57%, that's a +EV pick. Over hundreds of bets, +EV picks generate consistent profit regardless of short-term variance.

Every prediction is graded against real results using a 5-layer cascade: SofaSport live data, ESPN game logs, OddsEngine results, AI reconciliation, and nightly batch verification. Our full record -- wins, losses, and ROI -- is published transparently. No cherry-picking, no hiding losses.

We scan 48 books including DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, Bet365, Underdog Fantasy, PrizePicks, ParlayPlay, Sleeper, Fliff, and many more. For DFS-style books we capture actual variable payouts per prop for accurate edge calculations.

Our scraper runs every 2 minutes across all sportsbooks, and predictions refresh every 5 minutes. You see picks as soon as a +EV opportunity appears, and stale lines are automatically removed.

Most tools show you odds. We give you ten tools in one subscription: an AI prediction model for 5 sports, Sharp Money tracker (what respected money is hammering), Polymarket+Kalshi insider signals, MLB Alt Markets (NRFI/HR/K Ladders), Arb/Middles/RLM scanners, Slip Builder with correlation math, Exposure dashboard, and Top Props leaderboard. Plus every pick is graded and published publicly.

Everything. Prediction engine, Sharp Money whale tracker, Insider Tracker (Polymarket + Kalshi signals), MLB Alt Markets (NRFI/YRFI + K Ladders + HR picks), Arbitrage Scanner (17 sportsbooks), Middles, RLM Detector, Slip Builder with correlation math + Monte Carlo, Exposure / bankroll dashboard, Top Props leaderboard, public Performance page, and the Blog. No upsells, no add-ons.

Turtle Founding is capped at 50 seats — 13 are already taken. Founding Members get the full Turtle Pro toolset for $99/mo (Core pricing, Pro access) and that rate is locked for life. Every future tool we ship — including NFL in August 2026 — is included at no extra cost. Once the 50 seats are full, this tier never re-opens; new members pay $149/mo for Pro.

Yes. Your subscription is managed through Whop. Cancel anytime with one click -- no contracts, no cancellation fees, no hoops to jump through.

Limited Availability

Only 37 Founding seats left.

Turtle Founding is capped at 50 seats — 13 already taken. Founding Members get the full Turtle Pro toolset for $99/mo, locked for life. Every tool we ship — Sharp Money, Insider Tracker, Arb, Middles, RLM, Slip Builder, Alt Markets, Exposure, Top Props, the prediction engine, and NFL at launch — is included forever. When the 50 seats are full, the tier closes. Pro goes to $149/mo for everyone else.

Start Winning Today

Join the bettors who stopped guessing and started using math. Lock in Founding Members pricing before it closes.

Already a member? Sign in

Founding $99/mo locked for life · Core $99 · Pro $149 · Cancel anytime