Find the edge.
Audit every pick.
A probability engine that scans dozens of books across 6 sports and identifies mispriced player props. No gut calls. No hidden losses.
Historical, in-sample graded results at true per-pick payouts, with wins and losses shown. Newer Verified Results use stronger publication evidence; older Historical Results can have less publication detail. Past results don’t guarantee future performance. Always bet responsibly.
The wins live in our Discord
We provide the analysis. Members submit the slips. These are theirs, straight from the community wall, and they are wins by definition, nobody screenshots a loss. A screenshot alone proves nothing, which is why Performance separates newer verified results from clearly labeled historical results, with wins and losses shown. Come sweat the next one with us.
These are member-shared wins — nobody screenshots a loss. The losses are all on the public ledger. Member results, not typical outcomes. 21+ only. Please bet responsibly.
Three Steps to +EV
We handle the math. You place the bets.
We Scan
Market prices refresh throughout the day across dozens of sportsbooks, so modeled edges can be evaluated against current available prices.
We Calculate
Sport-specific probability models anchored to the sharpest lines in the market. If there's real edge, we find it. If there isn't, we don't show it.
You Decide
Newer verified results include publication evidence and grading against real outcomes; older historical results remain clearly labeled.
6 Sports Available Now
Dedicated models per sport, retrained weekly on fresh data, not a one-size-fits-all algorithm.
Recent Picks
Current and historical results published for review.
How We Compare
Most tools show you odds. We show you edges.
| Feature | Turtle +EV from $99/mo | OddsJam varies by product | PickFinder check current pricing | OddsShopper check current pricing | Unabated varies by tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AI Probability Engine (6 sports) | |||||
| Transparent Pick Grading | |||||
| dozens of sportsbooks Scanned | |||||
| Polymarket + Kalshi Insider Signals | |||||
| Arbitrage + Middles Scanner | |||||
| MLB Alt Markets (NRFI, HR, K Ladders) | |||||
| Slip Builder with Correlation Math | |||||
| Published Win Rate & ROI (every pick) | |||||
| Under $100/mo |
One platform. Built in stages.
Most platforms give you lines. We give you an edge engine, prediction models, market intelligence, inefficiency scanners, and execution tools. Founding members get all of it, forever.
Prediction Engine
Sport-specific ML models (XGBoost + Poisson GLMs) across NBA, NHL, MLB, Soccer, Tennis. Retrained weekly on fresh data.
MLB Alt Markets
NRFI/YRFI + K Ladders + HR picks from dedicated models. Markets the big tools don't touch.
Arbitrage Scanner
Near-risk-free arbitrage across books + prediction markets. Fee-aware, quality-tiered, with the locked spread shown. Execution risk applies.
Middles
Coming soon. Middles scanning remains unavailable until production-readiness verification is complete.
Prediction Markets
Coming soon. Prediction-market intelligence remains unavailable until production-readiness verification is complete.
Slip Builder
Build slips with pairwise correlation penalties + Monte Carlo simulation. Stop accidentally sizing correlated plays.
Exposure / Bankroll
Track your exposure across books, stats, and games. Know what you're actually risking at any given moment.
Prop Trends
Which prop types and books are hot right now, how each is trending (3d vs 30d), and the status of every model pattern. Ride the hot ones, skip the cold.
Plus the Dashboard, Performance page, Top Props leaderboard, Blog, and every tool shipped in Phase 2.
Simple Pricing. Full Access.
One platform. Founding locks in the $99 monthly price while continuously subscribed.
The foundational Turtle pick and model experience.
- 6 sports currently verified as available
- Model probability on every prop
- Public performance evidence
- dozens of sportsbooks scanned
- Full performance transparency
The full set of currently released Turtle Pro features.
- 6 sports currently verified as available
- AI probability on every prop
- dozens of sportsbooks scanned
- Full performance transparency
Pro features at Core price, locked for life.
- All current Turtle Pro features
- Price locked for life (never increases)
- 6 sports currently verified as available
- Future Turtle Pro features included when released
- Priority beta access to new products
- Direct line to the founders
Cancel anytime via Whop. No contracts, no hidden fees. Founding seats never re-open once filled.
Why Turtle Pro: Pro is $149/mo. First 7 days are $1. Current verified sport availability is NBA, WNBA, NHL, MLB, Soccer, Tennis, with prices scanned across dozens of sportsbooks. Features not yet verified for paid production use are not represented as currently available.
Built Different
Current and historical performance evidence includes wins and losses.
Public Performance Evidence
Current and historical results are published with wins and losses included.
Market Refresh
Market data refreshes throughout the day across dozens of sportsbooks.
Calibrated Models
Sport-specific probability calibration. Not generic. Backtested and retrained weekly.
Edge Sizing
We show predicted edge as a percentage so you can size bets by confidence.
Frequently Asked Questions
We build sport-specific statistical models using player game logs, advanced metrics, and situational factors. Those models compare estimated probabilities against prices across dozens of sportsbooks. Only modeled edges that pass the current product rules surface on the platform.
Positive expected value (+EV) means a bet where the true probability of winning is higher than what the sportsbook’s odds imply. If a book gives you +100 odds (50% implied), but our model says the true probability is 57%, that’s a +EV pick. The idea is that betting +EV consistently should win over a large sample, but single nights are variance, and an edge is never guaranteed. That’s why we publish current and historical performance evidence, including losses, so you can judge the record instead of a promise.
Every prediction is graded against real results against live sports data and official game logs, reconciled nightly. Our full record, wins, losses, and ROI, is published in public.
We scan dozens of sportsbooks, including traditional sportsbooks and DFS-style platforms. For DFS-style apps we record available leg payouts; those are not the same as actual DFS entry profit.
Market data and modeled edges refresh throughout the day. Stale prices are removed as newer market data becomes available.
Turtle combines sport-specific probability models, public results, an Odds Screen, and betting-math tools. Product availability is only represented as current after production readiness is verified.
Current publicly verified availability includes NBA, WNBA, NHL, MLB, Soccer, Tennis, the public Performance record, Odds Screen, Daily Receipt, and free betting-math tools. Paid tools are only described as available after their production readiness is verified.
Turtle Founding is capped at 50 seats. The public price is $99/mo. Price locked for life while subscribed. Future products are not promised as available until production readiness is verified.
Yes. Your subscription is managed through Whop. Cancel anytime with one click, no contracts, no cancellation fees, no hoops to jump through.
Only 41 Founding seats left.
Turtle Founding is capped at 50 seats, 9 already taken. Founding membership is $99/mo, price locked for life while subscribed.. Current verified public sport availability is NBA, WNBA, NHL, MLB, Soccer, Tennis. Products still awaiting production-readiness verification are not promised here as currently available. When the 50 seats are full, the tier closes for good.
Audit Every Edge Today
Start the $1 week, review verified and historical results with wins and losses shown, and decide for yourself. Cancel anytime.
Founding $99/mo locked for life · Core $99 · Pro $149 · Cancel anytime
For builders
Don’t trust the record. Query it.
Everything this site runs on is served as a REST API: the live board, point-in-time snapshots of what we published, graded results with wins and losses, no-vig fair value, and closing line data. The same numbers we grade ourselves on, so you can audit us instead of taking our word. Typed spec included, readable by your AI agent.