| Tool | Graded | Win rate | Result | Status | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
DFS Player Props In-sample. Includes off-season NBA/NHL. | 61,396 graded today | 56.1% | +4.8% ROI ROI | Live · graded | |
Sportsbook Picks Best-available odds across books; single-book reality is lower. CLV not yet wired. | 14,879 graded today | 53.1% | +6.9% ROI ROI (best odds) | Live · graded | |
Sharp Money Published record since 2026-06-10, deduped to one pick per game, longshots fenced. What was actually sent to Discord — no tier filter. Past results don't guarantee future. | 1,034 graded today | 54.6% | +1.5% ROI ROI (published core) | Profitable | |
First-Inning NRFI / YRFI Win-rate only — no payout in the ledger, so no ROI is claimed. | 257 graded today | 57.2% | 57% win rate Win rate | Live · graded | |
Arbitrage Distinct realizable opportunities (re-detections deduped; palpable-error/>9% rows excluded). Locked spread guaranteed only if both legs fill. | 2,518 graded today | — | +1.5% avg spread Avg locked spread | Live · graded | |
Home Run Model Overconfident at long odds — not +EV as priced. Recalibrating. | 1,034 graded today | 16.3% | -10% ROI ROI | Not +EV | |
Pitcher Strikeouts Losing as displayed; claimed edge is anti-correlated with outcome. | 404 graded today | 51.2% | -6% ROI ROI | Not +EV | |
Middles Distinct opportunities; legs move before both fill. Discovery tool, net-negative. | 2,643 graded today | 25.3% | -2.8% ROI ROI | Not +EV | |
Prediction-Market Edge Paper-traded, young sample. Lifetime ROI is a longshot artifact; the forward board now gates out sub-0.40 longshots + the no-edge PM-US lines. No proven edge yet. | 897 graded today | 68.2% | Experimental Experimental | Experimental |
Every pick graded — wins and losses. Historical and in-sample; past results don't guarantee future performance. 21+.
Yes. Every pick is graded in public — wins and losses — and nothing is deleted. The full record on this page is sortable by sport, tool, and book.
More than 82,000 player-prop model calls, each graded against the official box score and published here.
It is public and checkable — every graded pick lists the player, line, side, and the real result against the box score, so anyone can verify it independently.
No. Past results never guarantee future performance. The value is a transparent, auditable process and tools — not a promise. 21+.