World Cup 2026 Player Props — +EV Picks & Model Edges
Our soccer model: 4,298 picks graded in public, 62.8% hit rate, +853.1u — a historical, in-sample track record, never a promise. Below: today's World Cup edges on the board, our per-stat record, and how the model finds the gap.
EV% is our modeled edge — not a promised return. Not a sportsbook.
Historical and in-sample. Past results don't guarantee future performance.
World Cup edges on the board
Updated Jun 15, 11:54 PM EDTSoccer Prop Performance by Stat — All-Time Record
| Prop Type | Picks | Hit Rate | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shots | 1,145 | 72.4% | +400.9u |
| Shots On Target | 1,116 | 54.9% | +47.3u |
| Passes | 760 | 58.9% | +74.2u |
| Fouls | 741 | 66.8% | +254.8u |
| Tackles | 289 | 55.4% | +5.9u |
| Goals | 168 | 58.3% | +34.6u |
| Crosses | 23 | 82.6% | +11.9u |
Shots, Fouls and Shots on Target are our highest-volume soccer markets. Every stat is shown honestly — including the thin or negative ones. Historical and in-sample; not a forecast.
How We Find +EV World Cup Props
Each World Cup prop starts from player-level data — recent form weighted toward the most recent matches, opponent and matchup strength, and role context — to build an independent probability for stats like Shots, Shots on Target, and Fouls. We compare that calibrated probability against the price at 48 sportsbooks every couple of minutes. When our number is meaningfully better than the implied odds, that gap is positive expected value — and only then does a pick surface. Every pick is timestamped, graded, and publicly archived. See our complete track record or browse all our soccer player props.
Frequently Asked Questions
Do you cover World Cup player props?
Yes. Our soccer model runs on World Cup 2026 matches the same way it runs the leagues we cover year-round — Shots, Shots on Target, Fouls, and other high-volume player props. We compare our calibrated probability against the live price at 48 sportsbooks and surface only the props where the math shows positive expected value (+EV). Coverage depends on which props the books post for a given match, so volume varies day to day.
Which sportsbooks do these picks come from?
We scan 48 sportsbooks and DFS apps — including DraftKings, FanDuel, Pinnacle, Bovada, BetMGM, PrizePicks, and Underdog — and price each World Cup prop at the best available number. The book shown on each pick is the one offering the edge at the time it surfaced. Lines move, so always confirm the current price before you bet.
Is this World Cup page free?
This page is free, and the sample of edges shown here is free. It is a small teaser of the full live board, which runs every World Cup prop through the model and ranks the +EV ones across all 48 books. The full board lives inside the app — you can open it with a 7-day Pro free trial, no card pressure, cancel anytime.
Do you guarantee winning World Cup picks?
No. Anyone guaranteeing winners is not being honest with you. EV% is our modeled edge, not a promised return, and variance is real — even +EV picks lose in the short run. Our soccer track record is strong historically and in-sample, but past results never guarantee future performance. What we promise is a transparent, calibrated edge and a fully public graded record you can audit yourself.
Keep exploring
See every World Cup edge today
The full board runs every World Cup prop through our soccer model and ranks the +EV ones across 48 books. Transparent grading, no cherry-picking. EV% is a modeled edge, not a promised return.
21+. Always bet responsibly. Past results don't guarantee future performance. Not a sportsbook.